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Details

Projecting Fatalities in Crashes Involving Older Drivers, 2000-2025.

DE2001777650

Publication Date	2001
Personal Author	Hu, P. S.
Page Count	220
Abstract	As part of this research effort, we developed a new methodology for projecting elderly traffic crash fatalities. This methodology separates exposure to crashes from crash risk per se, and further divides exposure into two components, the number of miles driven and the likelihood of being a driver. This component structure permits conceptually different determinants of traffic fatalities to be projected separately and has thorough motivation in behavioral theory. It also permits finer targeting of particular aspects of projections that need improvement and closer linking of projections to possible policy instruments for influencing them.
Keywords	Traffic accidents Elderly people Forecasting Vehicles Accidents Death
Source Agency	Technical Information Center Oak Ridge Tennessee
Corporate Authors	Oak Ridge National Lab., TN.; Department of Energy, Washington, DC.
Document Type	Technical Report
NTIS Issue Number	200125
Contract Number	AC05-96OR22464

Projecting Fatalities in Crashes Involving Older Drivers, 2000-2025.

Projecting Fatalities in Crashes Involving Older Drivers, 2000-2025.
DE2001777650

Publication Date	2001
Personal Author	Hu, P. S.
Page Count	220
Abstract	As part of this research effort, we developed a new methodology for projecting elderly traffic crash fatalities. This methodology separates exposure to crashes from crash risk per se, and further divides exposure into two components, the number of miles driven and the likelihood of being a driver. This component structure permits conceptually different determinants of traffic fatalities to be projected separately and has thorough motivation in behavioral theory. It also permits finer targeting of particular aspects of projections that need improvement and closer linking of projections to possible policy instruments for influencing them.
Keywords	Traffic accidents Elderly people Forecasting Vehicles Accidents Death
Source Agency	Technical Information Center Oak Ridge Tennessee
Corporate Authors	Oak Ridge National Lab., TN.; Department of Energy, Washington, DC.
Document Type	Technical Report
NTIS Issue Number	200125
Contract Number	AC05-96OR22464